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Towards a typology of ceasefires: order amid violence
Australian Journal of International Affairs ( IF 1.656 ) Pub Date : 2020-06-18 , DOI: 10.1080/10357718.2020.1780196
Marika Sosnowski 1
Affiliation  

ABSTRACT Traditionally, ceasefires have primarily been seen as military tools used to halt violence for specific periods of time or as a teleological bridge between war and peace. Drawing from the literature on complex political order, this paper argues that rather than only affecting levels of violence ceasefires can be better conceptualised as particular types of wartime order and that consequently they can have diverse military and political consequences on the ground. These may include for recognition and legitimation, rebel governance, economic networks, state consolidation and rights to citizenship and property. The article uses this broader conceptual foundation and an analysis of 186 ceasefire agreements to create a typology with four different types of ceasefires and theorise about their potential ramifications for other contested areas beyond the military arena. It illustrates the different types of ceasefires from the typology with empirical examples from the Syrian civil war.

中文翻译:

走向停火的类型:暴力中的秩序

摘要 传统上,停火主要被视为用于在特定时间段内制止暴力的军事工具或战争与和平之间的目的论桥梁。本文借鉴复杂政治秩序的文献,认为停火不仅可以影响暴力程度,还可以更好地概念化为特定类型的战时秩序,因此它们可以在实地产生不同的军事和政治后果。这些可能包括承认和合法化、反叛治理、经济网络、国家巩固以及公民权和财产权。本文利用这一更广泛的概念基础和对 186 份停火协议的分析,创建了一个包含四种不同类型停火的类型学,并就其对军事领域以外的其他有争议地区的潜在影响进行了理论分析。它通过叙利亚内战的经验实例从类型学中说明了不同类型的停火。
更新日期:2020-06-18
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