ABSTRACT

How do marriages fare during times of dramatic social, political and economic transition? Transitional societies offer a unique context for studying marital instability as they are often buffeted by countervailing forces of modernisation and re-traditionalisation, in addition to socio-economic and political changes. Using detailed and rich data from Kyrgyzstan, the study investigates trends over time in marital instability in response to societal upheavals and gradual secular transformations; ethnic group-specific responses in marital instability; and the role of changing gender regimes in marital instability. The findings reveal an increase in the rate of marital dissolution over time. However, ethnic group-specific differentials remained significant, mirroring the historically shaped relative positioning of the groups in the process of demographic change. The results also highlight gender differentials in the influence of education and employment on marital instability. The findings are discussed within the broader framework of demographic and social changes in transitional Central Asia.

摘要

在急剧的社会，政治和经济过渡时期，婚姻如何发展？过渡社会为研究婚姻不稳定提供了一个独特的背景，因为除了社会经济和政治变化之外，过渡社会经常受到现代化和再传统化的反作用力量的打击。该研究利用吉尔吉斯斯坦提供的详尽而丰富的数据，调查了随着社会动荡和长期世俗转变而导致的婚姻不稳定的长期趋势；针对婚姻不稳定的种族特定反应；以及改变性别制度在婚姻不稳定中的作用。研究结果表明，随着时间的流逝，婚姻溶解的比率增加了。但是，各民族之间的差异仍然很大，反映人口变化过程中各群体的历史形状相对定位。结果还强调了教育和就业对婚姻不稳定的影响中的性别差异。在过渡中亚的人口和社会变革的更广泛框架内讨论了这些发现。