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Asymmetric impact of inflation and unemployment on poverty in Pakistan: new evidence from asymmetric ARDL cointegration
Asia Pacific Journal of Social Work and Development ( IF 1.433 ) Pub Date : 2018-09-24 , DOI: 10.1080/02185385.2018.1523745
Muhammad Saeed Meo 1 , Vina Javed Khan 2 , Tella Oluwatoba Ibrahim 3 , Shabnam Khan 4 , Shahzad Ali 5 , Kashif Noor 6
Affiliation  

ABSTRACT The current study is intended to examine the asymmetric impact of inflation and unemployment on the poverty of Pakistan over the period of 1970 to 2016 by applying asymmetric Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) cointegration approach. The results revealed the presence of long-run asymmetries among inflation, unemployment and poverty. These findings also confirmed the atypical reaction of poverty to negative and positive shocks in unemployment and inflation. Furthermore, findings also confirmed negative and significant association among health expenditures (HE), population growth and poverty. The findings of the study have relevant implications for policymakers interested in the asymmetric relationship among inflation, unemployment and poverty in Pakistan.

中文翻译:

通货膨胀和失业对巴基斯坦贫困的不对称影响:来自不对称ARDL协整的新证据

摘要 当前的研究旨在通过应用非对称自回归分布滞后 (ARDL) 协整方法来检验 1970 年至 2016 年期间通货膨胀和失业对巴基斯坦贫困的非对称影响。结果显示通货膨胀、失业和贫困之间存在长期不对称。这些发现还证实了贫困对失业和通货膨胀的负面和正面冲击的非典型反应。此外,调查结果还证实了卫生支出 (HE)、人口增长和贫困之间存在显着负相关。该研究的结果对于对巴基斯坦通货膨胀、失业和贫困之间的不对称关系感兴趣的决策者具有相关意义。
更新日期:2018-09-24
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