ABSTRACT

Voluntary uptake of climate-adapted beans is driven by farmers’ climate change perceptions. Identifying these perceptions and understanding their determinants help public agencies and seed suppliers design tailored engagement strategies to maximize uptake. We perform the first classification of climate change perceptions among farming communities in Colombia. A latent class analysis (LCA) is applied to a survey designed to capture the climate change perceptions of 566 bean farmers in the Colombian department of Santander. A Multinomial Logistic Model is estimated to determine the drivers behind the climate change perceptions identified. Farmers located at lower elevations and who are further away from their urban centres tend to be more concerned about the future economic consequences of climate change. These farmers also tend to seek climatic information for making productive activities. Accordingly, strategies aimed at maximizing the uptake of new drought-resistant bean varieties should focus on these farmers as they seem to be more receptive to uptake them. Moreover, engagement strategies containing information on management alternatives to appraise uncertainties and mitigate some of the severe effects of extreme weather events will generate increased uptake.

摘要

农民对气候变化的认识促使人们自愿采用适应气候变化的豆类。识别这些看法并理解其决定因素有助于公共机构和种子供应商设计量身定制的参与策略，以最大程度地吸收。我们对哥伦比亚的农业社区进行了对气候变化认识的第一个分类。潜在类别分析（LCA）用于旨在捕获哥伦比亚桑坦德省566名豆农对气候变化认识的调查。估计了一个多项逻辑模型，以确定确定的气候变化背后的驱动力。海拔较低，远离城市中心的农民往往更担心气候变化对未来的经济后果。这些农民还倾向于寻求气候信息以进行生产活动。因此，旨在最大程度地吸收新的抗旱豆品种的策略应侧重于这些农民，因为他们似乎更容易接受。此外，包含有关管理备选方案的信息以评估不确定性和减轻极端天气事件的一些严重影响的参与策略将增加人们的接受程度。