ABSTRACT

Many previous studies that evaluated the impact of adaptation to climate change on poverty failed to assess how the gains from adaptation can be assessed from the multidimensional poverty perspective. In this study, survey data were used to examine the effect of adoption of adaptation strategies comprising irrigation, soil conservation, and enhanced cropping calendar management, on farm performance and multi-dimensional poverty index. Multinomial Endogenous Treatment Effect (METE) model which accounts for selectivity bias due to both observed and unobserved factors was employed. The results showed that a higher crop output and a greater reduction in downside risk exposure were associated with adoption of adaptation strategies as a package. The results further revealed that using all three strategies led to a significant reduction in multi-dimensional poverty among adapters. This suggests that adaptation is not only an ex-ante strategy against risk exposure, but an effective means of achieving the Sustainable Development Goals. It is therefore important for policy makers to consider the promotion of irrigation, soil conservation and cropping calendar management as effective strategies that could enhance farm performance and reduce household poverty. Intensifying extension and farmer education will also enhance adaptation to climate change.

摘要

许多先前评估适应气候变化对贫困影响的研究未能评估如何从多维贫困的角度评估适应带来的收益。在这项研究中，调查数据用于检查采用包括灌溉、土壤保持和加强种植日历管理在内的适应策略对农场绩效和多维贫困指数的影响。采用多项内源性处理效应 (METE) 模型，该模型考虑了由于观察到的和未观察到的因素造成的选择性偏差。结果表明，更高的作物产量和更大程度地减少下行风险与采用一揽子适应战略有关。结果进一步显示，使用所有三种策略导致适配器之间的多维贫困显着减少。这表明适应不仅是应对风险的事前战略，而且是实现可持续发展目标的有效手段。因此，决策者必须考虑将促进灌溉、土壤保持和种植日历管理作为可以提高农场绩效和减少家庭贫困的有效策略。加强推广和农民教育也将加强对气候变化的适应。因此，决策者必须考虑将促进灌溉、土壤保持和种植日历管理作为可以提高农场绩效和减少家庭贫困的有效策略。加强推广和农民教育也将加强对气候变化的适应。因此，决策者必须考虑将促进灌溉、土壤保持和种植日历管理作为可以提高农场绩效和减少家庭贫困的有效策略。加强推广和农民教育也将加强对气候变化的适应。