ABSTRACT

The Southport Spit, an undeveloped open space at the northern end of the Gold Coast beaches, has been subject to contentious development proposals. This study employs a choice experiment to elicit residents' preferences for the future of the Spit in terms of development focus, maximum permitted height of development and extent of developed space. From an online choice experiment survey, we estimate a latent class model that reveals two strongly opposing viewpoints and a third, more nuanced, viewpoint. A pro-conservation segment opposes development of either a cruise ship terminal or casino, prefers low-rise development and opposes any increase in the extent of developed space. In contrast, a pro-development segment favours building a cruise ship terminal, a casino, or both a cruise ship terminal and a casino, prefers medium-rise development and has no clear preferences for how much of the available footprint should be developed. This study contributes to the small body of literature employing choice experiments to elicit the land-use preferences of urban communities; findings may help to explain why, to date, so little progress has been made towards reaching consensus on the future of the Spit.

摘要

黄金海岸海滩北端尚未开发的休憩空间Southport Spit受到了有争议的发展建议。这项研究采用了一项选择实验，以从发展重点，最大允许发展高度和已开发空间的范围等方面，激发居民对Spit未来的偏好。通过在线选择实验调查，我们估计了一个潜在的阶级模型，该模型揭示了两个强烈相反的观点和第三个更细微的观点。有利于保护的部分反对发展游轮码头或娱乐场，反对低层发展，并反对扩大已开发空间的范围。相比之下，有利于发展的细分市场则倾向于建造游轮码头，赌场，或同时建造游轮码头和赌场，偏好中高层开发，并且对于应该开发多少可用空间没有明确的偏好。这项研究有助于通过选择实验来激发城市社区土地利用偏好的一小部分文献。这些发现可能有助于解释为什么到目前为止，在就唾液的未来达成共识方面进展甚微。