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Economic signals of ethnicity and voting in Africa: analysis of the correlation between agricultural subsectors and ethnicity in Kenya
Journal of Modern African Studies ( IF 1.137 ) Pub Date : 2020-11-20 , DOI: 10.1017/s0022278x20000233
Eun Kyung Kim

The existing literature has demonstrated that both ethnic and economic factors affect a vote decision in African democracies. I show that there is a meaningful interaction between the two cleavages in their influence on voting. In particular, I argue for political salience of agricultural subsectors that shape the electoral consequences of economic performance in the context where agricultural policy affects the livelihood of the majority population. Relying on the analyses of the 2007 and 2013 elections in Kenya, I illustrate how likely an individual, who is attached to a politically coherent ethnic group, votes for a candidate, the majority of whose ethnic members engage in the same industry as the voter himself regardless of the candidate's ethnicity. The results show that the sector factor reinforces the positive and negative effects of ethnic communities on incumbent support, and also explains voting by ethnic minorities whose motives for voting are not ethnic.

中文翻译:

非洲种族和投票的经济信号:肯尼亚农业分部门与种族之间的相关性分析

现有文献表明,种族和经济因素都会影响非洲民主国家的投票决定。我表明,这两种分歧在对投票的影响方面存在有意义的相互作用。特别是,我主张在农业政策影响大多数人口生计的背景下,影响经济表现的选举结果的农业子部门的政治显着性。根据对 2007 年和 2013 年肯尼亚选举的分析,我说明了一个依附于政治一致的族裔群体的个人投票给候选人的可能性,该候选人的大多数族裔成员与选民本人从事同一行业不论候选人的种族。
更新日期:2020-11-20
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