ABSTRACT In an era of rapid urbanization, there is a need for data-driven tools to guide long-term strategic planning. Online What If? (OWI) is a planning support system (PSS) that helps inform strategic planners about the impact of population growth and other socioeconomic factors will have on the future growth of cities. This research presents its application in metropolitan Perth with a two-part case study, demonstrating a first comprehensive application of the tool. First, OWI tests five scenarios for urban growth through the year 2050, allocating residential land use. Next, OWI alters land use allocations to align residential development with high frequency public transit, while also allocating commercial land use to support higher residential densities. Together, these data-driven scenarios inform city planners and policy makers in guiding the long-term, sustainable growth of Perth. The paper concludes with a review of OWI’s strengths, weaknesses and possibilities for continual development.

中文翻译：

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探索未来土地使用和交通场景的数据驱动方法：在线假设？工具

摘要 在快速城市化的时代，需要数据驱动的工具来指导长期战略规划。在线如果？(OWI) 是一个规划支持系统 (PSS)，可帮助战略规划者了解人口增长和其他社会经济因素对城市未来发展的影响。本研究通过一个由两部分组成的案例研究展示了其在珀斯大都市的应用，展示了该工具的首次综合应用。首先，OWI 测试了到 2050 年城市增长的五种情景，分配住宅用地。接下来，OWI 改变土地使用分配，使住宅开发与高频公共交通保持一致，同时还分配商业用地以支持更高的住宅密度。一起，这些数据驱动的情景为城市规划者和政策制定者提供指导，指导珀斯的长期可持续发展。本文最后回顾了 OWI 的优势、劣势和持续发展的可能性。