This article explains the causes of the Russia–Ukraine war starting in 2014 from the energy and energy markets perspective, based on resource dependency theory and the conceptual framework outlined by Jeffrey D. Colgan (2013). Our findings reveal that Russia is critically dependent on revenue from gas exports to Ukraine and the European Union, but also that Ukraine’s energy deposits and pipeline system have the potential to be a direct competitive threat to Russia’s energy exports. This paper argues that this was the underlying reason and main causal pathway leading to Russia’s annexation of Crimea and the subsequent war in eastern Ukraine.

中文翻译：

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能源资源和市场——对俄乌战争的看法

本文基于资源依赖理论和 Jeffrey D. Colgan (2013) 概述的概念框架，从能源和能源市场的角度解释了 2014 年开始的俄罗斯-乌克兰战争的原因。我们的研究结果表明，俄罗斯严重依赖向乌克兰和欧盟出口天然气的收入，但乌克兰的能源储备和管道系统有可能对俄罗斯的能源出口构成直接竞争威胁。本文认为，这是导致俄罗斯吞并克里米亚和随后乌克兰东部战争的根本原因和主要因果途径。