Abstract

Fishermen are known to try to avoid fishing in stormy weather, as storms pose a physical threat to fishers, their vessels, and their gear. In this article, a dataset and methods are developed to investigate the degree to which fishers avoid storms, estimate storm aversion parameters, and explore how this response varies across vessel characteristics and across regions of the United States. The data consist of vessel-level trip-taking decisions from six federal fisheries across the United States combined with marine storm warning data from the National Weather Service. The estimates of storm aversion can be used to parameterize predictive models. Fishers’ aversion to storms decreases with increasing vessel size and increases with the severity of the storm warning. This information contributes to our understanding of the risk-to-revenue trade-off that fishers evaluate every time they consider going to sea, and of the propensity of fishers to take adaptive actions to avoid facing additional physical risk.

中文翻译：

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风暴如何影响渔民的出海决定

摘要

众所周知，由于暴风雨对渔民，渔船和渔具构成了物理威胁，渔民会尽量避免在暴风雨中捕鱼。在本文中，开发了一个数据集和方法来调查渔民避开风暴的程度，估计风暴的避让参数，并探索这种响应如何在美国不同船只特征之间和不同地区之间变化。数据由美国六个联邦渔业的船只级出行决定以及国家气象局的海洋风暴预警数据组成。风暴规避的估计可用于参数化预测模型。渔民对风暴的厌恶程度随着船只尺寸的增加而减少，并随着风暴警告的严重性而增加。