当前位置: X-MOL 学术Theor. Appl. Climatol. › 论文详情
Our official English website, www.x-mol.net, welcomes your feedback! (Note: you will need to create a separate account there.)
Seasonal trend analysis of minimum air temperature in La Plata river basin
Theoretical and Applied Climatology ( IF 3.4 ) Pub Date : 2021-01-09 , DOI: 10.1007/s00704-020-03512-w
Marisa G. Cogliati , Gabriela V. V. Müller , Miguel A. Lovino

Regional economies that depend predominantly on agriculture and livestock are heavily affected by changes in air temperature, one such case are the activities in La Plata river basin (LPB). Some studies suggest that variations in the seasonal cycle and season onset would affect efficiency in the use of radiation by vegetation. This paper evaluates the distribution of minimum temperature seasonality trends over LPB, describes the trends in the seasonal cycle, and detects changes of minimum temperature extremes characterized by the number of frost days and the frequency of warm and cold nights. The analysis includes absolute minimum temperature (TnMin) and minimum average temperature (TnMean) from ERA5 reanalysis for the 1980–2015 period. Significant positive trends in the amplitude of annual average TnMin and TnMean are observed over more than half the area (53.5% and 69.9% of the basin, respectively). Amplitude and phase parameters suggest that average minimum temperature underwent greater variation than absolute minimum temperature over LPB. The shifts in phase indicate that minimum temperatures occurred earlier than usual in the year considering the 35-year series. In general terms, there is a shift toward warmer conditions. This warming is evident in seasonal trends of minimum temperature as well as in the significant increase in the number of warm nights, a significant decrease of cold days and a significant decrease in the number of frost days in the highest Andes mountains in the west of the LPB.



中文翻译:

拉普拉塔河流域最低气温的季节性趋势分析

主要依靠农业和畜牧业的区域经济受到气温变化的严重影响,其中一个例子就是拉普拉塔河流域(LPB)的活动。一些研究表明,季节周期和季节开始的变化会影响植被利用辐射的效率。本文评估了LPB的最低温度季节性趋势的分布,描述了季节周期的趋势,并检测了以霜冻天数和暖夜频率为特征的最低温度极端值的变化。分析包括ERA5重新分析的1980-2015年期间的绝对最低温度(TnMin)和最低平均温度(TnMean)。在一半以上的区域(分别为流域的53.5%和69.9%)观察到年平均TnMin和TnMean振幅的显着正趋势。幅度和相位参数表明,在LPB上,平均最低温度的变化大于绝对最低温度。相变表明,考虑到35年序列,最低温度比一年中的正常年份早。一般而言,向暖和的方向转变。在最低温度的季节性趋势中,以及在西部以西安第斯山脉最高的暖夜数显着增加,寒冷天数显着减少以及霜冻天数的显着减少中,这种变暖是明显的。 LPB。幅度和相位参数表明,在LPB上,平均最低温度的变化大于绝对最低温度。相变表明,考虑到35年序列,最低温度比一年中的正常年份早。一般而言,向暖和的方向转变。在最低温度的季节性趋势中,以及在西部以西安第斯山脉最高的暖夜数显着增加,寒冷天数显着减少以及霜冻天数的显着减少中,这种变暖是明显的。 LPB。幅度和相位参数表明,在LPB上,平均最低温度的变化大于绝对最低温度。相变表明,考虑到35年序列,最低温度比一年中的正常年份早。一般而言,向暖和的方向转变。在最低温度的季节性趋势中,以及在西部以西安第斯山脉最高的暖夜数显着增加,寒冷天数显着减少以及霜冻天数的显着减少中,这种变暖是明显的。 LPB。一般而言,向暖和的方向转变。在最低温度的季节性趋势中,以及在西部以西安第斯山脉最高的暖夜数显着增加,寒冷天数显着减少以及霜冻天数的显着减少中,这种变暖是明显的。 LPB。一般而言,向暖和的方向转变。在最低温度的季节性趋势中,以及在西部以西安第斯山脉最高的暖夜数显着增加,寒冷天数显着减少以及霜冻天数的显着减少中,这种变暖是明显的。 LPB。

更新日期:2021-01-10
down
wechat
bug