The civil war in Burundi (1993–2005) led to the forced displacement of a large part of the population. This study aims to explore how that displacement affected fertility behavior. Using a nationally representative, retrospective survey on birth and residential histories of 4,523 Burundian women, we examine the impact of conflict‐induced displacement on fertility. These unique data enable us to distinguish between remaining‐in‐place, voluntary migration, and forced displacement, as well as to distinguish between periods spent “on the move” versus periods spent in residence in the new site. Adopting a semiparametric regression model, we analyze both the probability of the first pregnancy and the subsequent spacing of higher order pregnancies. We find that the risk of a first pregnancy was higher in the year in which a woman was forcibly displaced and lower in the year a woman migrated voluntarily. Residency in a new site increased the risk of pregnancy for both.

中文翻译：

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布隆迪的被迫流离失所，迁移与生育

布隆迪内战（1993年至2005年）导致大部分人口被迫流离失所。这项研究旨在探讨这种位移如何影响生育行为。通过对4,523名布隆迪妇女的出生和居住史进行全国代表性的回顾性调查，我们研究了冲突导致的流离失所对生育率的影响。这些独特的数据使我们能够区分原住民，自愿移民和强迫流离失所，以及区分“搬家”期间和在新地点居住期间之间的差异。采用半参数回归模型，我们分析了第一次怀孕的概率以及随后高次妊娠的间隔。我们发现，在一名妇女被迫流离失所的那年，第一次怀孕的风险较高，而在一名妇女自愿迁移的那年，其初次怀孕的风险较低。居住在新地点会增加双方的怀孕风险。