Objectives

A small but growing body of scholarship suggests that defendants held in pretrial detention may be more likely to receive prison sentences. This study investigates this relationship in Oregon amidst an aim to reform pretrial processes and simultaneously curb prison reliance.

Methods

We employ a quasi-experimental design using propensity score modeling to assess the effects of being detained through disposition and detention dosage on sentence type and length. Using a sample of 3390 criminal defendants from nine Oregon counties, we use a doubly robust approach to modeling the effects of pretrial detention.

Results

Our analyses reveal that detained defendants possess odds of being sentenced to prison are twice that of those released prior to their disposition. Additionally, the longer one spends in pretrial detention the greater the likelihood receiving a sentence if incarceration.

Conclusions

Implications of these findings suggest that counties should explore options to reduce their application and duration of pretrial detention.

中文翻译：

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测量拘留剂量：使用倾向评分模型评估审前拘留对量刑结果的影响

目标

奖学金数额很小但仍在增长，这表明被审前拘留的被告更有可能受到监禁。这项研究旨在改革俄勒冈州的审前程序，同时遏制监狱依赖，从而研究了俄勒冈州的这种关系。

方法

我们采用倾向评分模型进行准实验设计，以评估通过处置和拘留剂量对句子类型和长度的影响。我们使用来自俄勒冈州9个县的3390名刑事被告的样本，使用了双重健壮的方法来模拟审前拘留的效果。

结果

我们的分析表明，被拘留的被告人被判入狱的几率是被处分前释放的人的两倍。此外，在审前拘留中花费的时间越长，如果被监禁则服刑的可能性就越大。

结论

这些发现表明，各县应探索减​​少其应用和减少审前拘留时间的选择。