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Norms Affect Prospective Causal Judgments
Cognitive Science ( IF 2.617 ) Pub Date : 2021-01-07 , DOI: 10.1111/cogs.12931
Paul Henne 1, 2 , Kevin O'Neill 3 , Paul Bello 4 , Sangeet Khemlani 4 , Felipe De Brigard 3, 5, 6, 7
Affiliation  

People more frequently select norm‐violating factors, relative to norm‐conforming ones, as the cause of some outcome. Until recently, this abnormal‐selection effect has been studied using retrospective vignette‐based paradigms. We use a novel set of video stimuli to investigate this effect for prospective causal judgments—that is, judgments about the cause of some future outcome. Four experiments show that people more frequently select norm‐violating factors, relative to norm‐conforming ones, as the cause of some future outcome. We show that the abnormal‐selection effects are not primarily explained by the perception of agency (Experiment 4). We discuss these results in relation to recent efforts to model causal judgment.

中文翻译:

规范影响前瞻性因果判断

相对于符合规范的因素,人们更频繁地选择违反规范的因素作为某些结果的原因。直到最近,人们还使用基于回顾性小插图的范式研究了这种异常选择效应。我们使用一组新颖的视频刺激来研究这种对前瞻性因果判断的影响——即对某些未来结果的原因的判断。四项实验表明,相对于符合规范的因素,人们更频繁地选择违反规范的因素作为某些未来结果的原因。我们表明,异常选择效应主要不是由代理感知来解释的(实验 4)。我们讨论这些结果与最近对因果判断建模的努力有关。
更新日期:2021-01-08
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