Policy makers, academics and the media have characterized the postArab Spring era as a period of great upheaval, chaos and turbulence, at times making comparisons to the Balkans. These characterizations are relatively imprecise, unhelpful and inaccurate. Closer scrutiny reveals that an increasing number of countries are adopting historically familiar behaviors and outcomes. Parts of the Levant, North Africa and the Gulf are closely mimicking Lebanon. Recognizing and understanding these parallels makes Lebanon a valuable tool for the advisers who are informing current U.S. policy and preparing for future challenges.

中文翻译：

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“黎巴嫩化”：中东难题的框架政策

政策制定者、学者和媒体将后阿拉伯之春时代描述为一个动荡、混乱和动荡的时期，有时将其与巴尔干进行比较。这些表征相对不精确、无益且不准确。更仔细的审查表明，越来越多的国家正在采用历史上熟悉的行为和结果。黎凡特、北非和海湾的部分地区正在密切模仿黎巴嫩。认识到并理解这些相似之处，黎巴嫩成为为美国当前政策提供信息并为未来挑战做准备的顾问的宝贵工具。