Background: Paternal incarceration is a well-known risk factor for poor child outcomes. Although existing research documents the prevalence of paternal incarceration and racial/ethnic disparities in this risk, research in this area is still sorely limited in two ways. First, the range of groups for which we know the cumulative risk of paternal incarceration is still quite narrow. Second, no research has decomposed disparities in the risk of paternal incarceration into analytically distinct components. Objective: To estimate and explain ethnic disparities in paternal incarceration risk in Denmark. Methods: We use Danish administrative data and two core demographic techniques. First, we use birth cohort life tables to estimate country of origin-specific paternal incarceration risks for native Danes, Western descendants of immigrants, and ten groups of non-Western descendants of immigrants. Second, we conduct Blinder-Oaxaca decompositions to see how three factors – paternal employment, education, and previous criminal justice contact – shape these risks. Results: We find that descendants of immigrants are much more likely to experience paternal incarceration than native Danes, but that there is substantial heterogeneity across country of origin. Additionally, we find that for most countries the observed disparities in paternal incarceration risk can be almost entirely explained by group differences in paternal employment, education, and previous criminal justice contact. Contribution: By using two core demographic techniques we provide insight into how future research on paternal incarceration and other risk factors for poor child well-being could better estimate and explain the risk of experiencing these events.

中文翻译：

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估计和解释丹麦父系监禁累积风险中的种族差异

背景：父亲的监禁是导致儿童预后不良的众所周知的危险因素。尽管现有的研究记录了这种风险中父亲监禁和种族/种族差异的普遍性，但是在这方面的研究仍然受到两种方式的严重限制。首先，我们知道父亲被监禁的累积风险的人群范围仍然很窄。其次，尚无研究将父亲监禁的风险差异分解为分析上不同的成分。目的：评估和解释丹麦父亲监护中的种族差异。方法：我们使用丹麦的行政数据和两种核心人口统计技术。首先，我们使用出生队列寿命表来估算丹麦原住民，移民的西方后裔，和十组非西方移民的后裔。其次，我们进行Blinder-Oaxaca分解，以了解三个因素（父亲的工作，教育和以前的刑事司法接触）如何影响这些风险。结果：我们发现，移民的后代比本地的丹麦人更有可能遭受父亲的监禁，但是在原籍国之间存在很大的异质性。此外，我们发现，对于大多数国家而言，观察到的父亲被监禁风险的差异几乎可以完全由父亲在雇用，教育和以前的刑事司法接触方面的群体差异来解释。贡献：