The end of the Cold War produced great hope that the risks and dangers associated with nuclear weapons could be minimized or tamed in a cooperative international environment heavily regulated by arms control. If arsenals could be reduced, nuclear weapons marginalized, destabilizing factors constrained or eliminated, and proliferation prevented in a world increasingly governed by negotiated arms control, the nuclear perils of the Cold War would be left behind. Nearly three decades later, these hopes have been dashed. Instead, relations among the major nuclear powers have grown more contentious, the spread of nuclear weapons to new states has resulted in worrying regional nuclear orders, and technological advances are raising new threats and possibly introducing new instabilities, while arms control is in a state of near total collapse. A new nuclear order, combining traditional concerns with distinctive new dangers, is here. The perils of this new and still evolving nuclear reality must be understood if they are to be safely managed.

中文翻译：

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改变的核世界：多边疾病的崛起

冷战的结束给在由军备控制严格管制的国际合作环境中将与核武器有关的风险和危险降至最低或驯服产生了巨大希望。如果可以减少军火库，将核武器边缘化，破坏或破坏稳定因素，以及在越来越多地通过议定军备控制的世界中防止扩散，那么冷战的核危机将不复存在。将近三十年后，这些希望破灭了。取而代之的是，主要核大国之间的关系变得越来越有争议，核武器向新国家的扩散导致地区核订单令人担忧，技术进步正在带来新的威胁，并可能带来新的不稳定，而军备控制仍处于紧张状态。几乎完全崩溃。一个新的核秩序，将传统的关切与独特的新危险结合在一起。如果要对其进行安全管理，就必须理解这一新的和仍在发展的核现实的危险。