In this paper, we estimate the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on mental health in the UK We use longitudinal micro data for the UK over the period 2009–20 to control for pre-existing trends in mental health and construct individual-specific counterfactual predictions for April 2020, against which the COVID-19 mental health outcomes can be assessed Our analysis reveals substantial effects at the population level, approximately equal in magnitude to the pre-pandemic differences between the top and bottom quintiles of the income distribution This overall effect was not distributed equally in the population – the pandemic had much bigger effects for young adults and for women, which are groups that already had lower levels of mental health before COVID-19 Hence inequalities in mental health have been increased by the pandemic Even larger effects are observed for measures of mental health that capture the number of problems reported or the fraction of the population reporting any frequent or severe problems, which more than doubled Pre-existing health vulnerabilities had no predictive power for subsequent changes in mental health © 2020 The Authors Fiscal Studies published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of Institute for Fiscal Studies

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暂时撤回

在本文中，我们估计了 COVID-19 大流行对英国心理健康的影响 我们使用了 2009-20 年期间英国的纵向微观数据来控制心理健康的预先存在的趋势并构建特定于个人的反事实2020 年 4 月的预测，可据此评估 COVID-19 的心理健康结果 我们的分析揭示了对人口水平的重大影响，其幅度大约等于大流行前收入分配最高和最低五分之一之间的差异 这种总体影响在人口中分布不均——大流行对年轻人和女性的影响要大得多，在 COVID-19 之前，这些群体的心理健康水平已经较低 因此，大流行加剧了心理健康方面的不平等现象，对于反映所报告问题数量或报告人口比例的心理健康措施，观察到了更大的影响任何频繁或严重的问题，增加了一倍以上 先前存在的健康脆弱性对随后的心理健康变化没有预测能力 © 2020 The Authors Fiscal Studies 由 John Wiley & Sons Ltd 代表财政研究所出版增加了一倍以上 先前存在的健康脆弱性对随后的心理健康变化没有预测能力 © 2020 The Authors Fiscal Studies 由 John Wiley & Sons Ltd 代表财政研究所出版增加了一倍以上 先前存在的健康脆弱性对随后的心理健康变化没有预测能力 © 2020 The Authors Fiscal Studies 由 John Wiley & Sons Ltd 代表财政研究所出版