The following article uses a simple-game theoretic model to explain the termination of the Colombian-armed conflict. Assuming a rationality of the Colombian Government and the guerrilla group, the Revolutionary Armed Forces, People’s Army within the internal armed conflict, an analysis of conjuncture and an identification of dimensions and strategies are used to try to explain the evolution of the armed conflict in the last two decades and its particular transformation. This is done by comparing the frustrated Caguán process, which took place between 1999 and 2002, with the recently completed Havana process that has put an end to more than five decades of internal conflict.

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从战争到和平：了解哥伦比亚武装冲突的结束

下面的文章使用一个简单的博弈论模型来解释哥伦比亚武装冲突的终止。假设哥伦比亚政府和游击队、革命武装力量、人民军队在国内武装冲突中的理性，分析形势并确定维度和战略，试图解释武装冲突在国内武装冲突的演变。过去的二十年及其特殊的转变。这是通过将 1999 年至 2002 年间发生的令人沮丧的卡关进程与最近完成的结束了 50 多年内部冲突的哈瓦那进程进行比较来实现的。