The space-time risk window associated with near-repeat burglary patterns would seem to present a natural opportunity for burglary prevention efforts. However, constraints associated with the reporting of, police response to, and space-time patterning of burglaries can reduce the crime prevention potential of such efforts. To better estimate the crime prevention potential of focusing on near-repeat burglaries, we studied burglary patterns in 10 U.S. cities. Descriptive aspatial and spatial statistics were used to answer the research questions. Significant space-time clustering does not necessarily indicate an actionable near-repeat problem. Police analysts and researchers should also consider the crime prevention potential of focusing on near repeats—in other words, the proportion of burglaries that are preventable. The results of this test provide new information to guide the implementation and evaluation of crime prevention efforts focused on near-repeat events.

中文翻译：

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量化近反复行窃的犯罪预防潜力

与近乎重复的盗窃案有关的时空风险窗口似乎为防止盗窃案提供了自然的机会。但是，与盗窃案的举报，警察对策和时空模式相关的限制条件可能会降低此类努力的预防犯罪潜力。为了更好地评估侧重于重复入室盗窃的犯罪预防潜力，我们研究了美国10个城市的入室盗窃模式。描述性的空间和空间统计被用来回答研究问题。显着的时空聚类未必表明存在可操作的近重复问题。警察分析人员和研究人员还应该考虑将重点放在近距离重复上的潜在犯罪预防能力，换句话说，是可以预防的盗窃比例。