The oceans face a range of complex challenges for which the impacts on society are highly uncertain but mostly negative. Tackling these challenges is testing society’s capacity to mobilise transformative action, engendering a sense of powerlessness. Envisaging positive but realistic visions of the future, and considering how current knowledge, resources, and technology could be used to achieve these futures, may lead to greater action to achieve sustainable transformations. Future Seas ( www.FutureSeas2030.org ) brought together researchers across career stages, Indigenous Peoples and environmental managers to develop scenarios for 12 challenges facing the oceans, leveraging interdisciplinary knowledge to improve society’s capacity to purposefully shape the direction of marine social-ecological systems over the UN Decade of Ocean Science for Sustainable Development (2021–2030). We describe and reflect on Future Seas, providing guidance for co-developing scenarios in interdisciplinary teams tasked with exploring ocean futures. We detail the narrative development for two futures: our current trajectory based on published evidence, and a more sustainable future, consistent with the UN’s Sustainable Development Goals, which is technically achievable using existing and emerging knowledge. Presentation of Business - as - usual and More Sustainable futures—together—allows communication of both trajectories, whilst also highlighting achievable , sustainable versions of the future. The advantages of the interdisciplinary approach taken include: (1) integrating different perspectives on solutions, (2) capacity to explore interactions between Life Under Water (Goal 14) and other SDGs, and (3) cross-disciplinary learning. This approach allowed participants to conceptualise shared visions of the future and co-design transformative pathways to achieving those futures.

中文翻译：

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在联合国海洋科学促进可持续发展十年期间为关键挑战开发可实现的替代未来

海洋面临着一系列复杂的挑战，这些挑战对社会的影响高度不确定，但大多是负面的。应对这些挑战正在考验社会动员变革行动的能力，从而产生一种无力感。设想对未来的积极但现实的愿景，并考虑如何利用当前的知识、资源和技术来实现这些未来，可能会导致采取更大的行动来实现可持续转型。未来海洋 ( www.FutureSeas2030.org ) 汇集了各个职业阶段的研究人员、土著人民和环境管理人员，为海洋面临的 12 个挑战制定情景，在联合国海洋科学促进可持续发展十年（2021-2030）期间，利用跨学科知识提高社会有目的地塑造海洋社会生态系统方向的能力。我们描述和反思未来海洋，为负责探索海洋未来的跨学科团队共同开发情景提供指导。我们详细介绍了两个未来的发展：基于已发表证据的当前轨迹，以及与联合国可持续发展目标一致的更可持续的未来，这在技术上可以利用现有和新兴知识实现。展示“照常营业”和“更可持续的未来”——一起——允许交流两种轨迹，同时突出可实现的、可持续的未来版本。所采取的跨学科方法的优势包括：（1）整合解决方案的不同观点，（2）探索水下生命（目标 14）与其他可持续发展目标之间相互作用的能力，以及（3）跨学科学习。这种方法使参与者能够概念化对未来的共同愿景，并共同设计实现这些未来的变革途径。