In this study, a long-term comparative assessment of the potential of wave power in the Black Sea was conducted using the calibrated and validated SWAN (Simulating WAves Nearshore) model forced by two well-known wind fields. The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ERA-Interim and National Centers for Environmental Prediction/Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (NCEP/CFSR) wind fields were used, covering data from 1979 to 2018. In general, the wave power potential based on the results of the CFSR wind field was found to be slightly higher than that obtained with the ERA-Interim wind field. The greatest discrepancy between the results of the ERA-Interim and CFSR wind fields was observed in the northeastern Black Sea. The spatial distributions of the wave power were also evaluated on a seasonal scale using wave parameters obtained from the calibrated SWAN model. The wave climate obtained from both long-term and seasonal assessments indicates that the western Black Sea, especially the southwestern Black Sea, is characterized by higher wave power potential and lower variability, while the eastern Black Sea has lower wave power potential and higher variability. Stable and powerful long-term wave conditions in the southwestern Black Sea can indicate that this region is a suitable location for wave farms. In contrast, the effect of the long-term variability on wave power is greatest in the eastern Black Sea owing to the highly variable wave conditions in this region.

在这项研究中，使用经过校准和验证的，由两个著名风场强迫产生的SWAN（近岸模拟波浪）模型对黑海中波浪动力的潜力进行了长期比较评估。使用了欧洲中距离天气预报中心（ECMWF）ERA临时和国家环境预测/气候预报系统再分析中心（NCEP / CFSR）的风场，涵盖了1979年至2018年的数据。根据CFSR风场的结果，发现它略高于ERA-Interim风场获得的结果。在东北黑海发现了ERA-Interim和CFSR风场之间最大的差异。还使用从校准的SWAN模型获得的波浪参数在季节性尺度上评估了波浪功率的空间分布。从长期和季节性评估中获得的海浪气候表明，黑海西部，特别是西南黑海，具有较高的波浪电势和较低的变化性，而东部黑海的波浪电势较低和变化性较高。黑海西南部稳定而强劲的长期波浪条件可以表明该地区是波浪养殖场的合适地点。相反，由于黑海东部地区的波浪条件高度可变，长期变化对波浪功率的影响最大。从长期和季节性评估中获得的海浪气候表明，黑海西部，特别是西南黑海，具有较高的波浪电势和较低的变化性，而东部黑海的波浪电势较低和变化性较高。黑海西南部稳定而强劲的长期波浪条件可以表明该地区是波浪养殖场的合适地点。相反，由于黑海东部地区的波浪条件高度可变，长期变化对波浪功率的影响最大。从长期和季节性评估中获得的海浪气候表明，黑海西部，特别是西南黑海，具有较高的波浪电势和较低的变化性，而东部黑海的波浪电势较低和变化性较高。黑海西南部稳定而强劲的长期波浪条件可以表明该地区是波浪养殖场的合适地点。相反，由于黑海东部地区的波浪条件高度可变，长期变化对波浪功率的影响最大。黑海西南部稳定而强劲的长期波浪条件可以表明该地区是波浪养殖场的合适地点。相反，由于黑海东部地区的波浪条件高度可变，长期变化对波浪功率的影响最大。黑海西南部稳定而强劲的长期波浪条件可以表明该地区是波浪养殖场的合适地点。相反，由于黑海东部地区的波浪条件高度可变，长期变化对波浪功率的影响最大。