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NBER Macroeconomics Annual ( IF 5.385 ) Pub Date : 2019-01-01 , DOI: 10.1086/700907
Valerie A. Ramey

This fine paper by Charles, Hurst, and Schwartz investigates the link between the post-2000 decline in manufacturing employment and the decline of the employment rate, and also analyzes the supporting roles played by transfer payments, geographic mobility, and opioid use. The paper is a particularly useful synthesis because it brings together threads from a number of other papers, including the authors’ own work, and it explores some competing explanations in a standardized empirical framework. The paper is a wonderful read because it tells a clear story based on an impressive marshalling of evidence. The paper contains numerous findings that shed light on a variety of changes that occurred around the same time. The span of the analysis from aggregate to commuting zone level is particularly enlightening. Here are highlights of a just a few of the many interesting results:

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Charles、Hurst 和 Schwartz 的这篇精美论文调查了 2000 年后制造业就业下降与就业率下降之间的联系,并分析了转移支付、地域流动和阿片类药物使用所起的支持作用。这篇论文是一个特别有用的综合,因为它汇集了许多其他论文的线索,包括作者自己的工作,并在标准化的经验框架中探索了一些相互矛盾的解释。这篇论文是一本精彩的读物,因为它根据令人印象深刻的证据编组讲述了一个清晰的故事。这篇论文包含许多发现,揭示了大约在同一时间发生的各种变化。从总体到通勤区级别的分析范围特别具有启发性。
更新日期:2019-01-01
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