Recent micro-level studies have suggested that globalization – in particular, economic globalization – breeds political polarization and populism. This study examines if those results generalize by examining the country-level association between vote shares for European populist parties and economic globalization. Using data on vote share for 267 right-wing and left-wing populist parties in 33 European countries 1980–2016, and globalization data from the KOF-institute, we find no evidence of a positive association between economic globalization and populism. In many cases, the partial correlation is significantly negative. EU-membership is associated with 5 to 10 percentage units larger vote shares for right-wing populism in both random and fixed effects models.

中文翻译：

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欧洲的全球化和民粹主义

最近的微观研究表明，全球化——尤其是经济全球化——滋生了政治两极分化和民粹主义。本研究通过检查欧洲民粹主义政党的投票份额与经济全球化之间的国家级关联来检验这些结果是否可以概括。使用 1980-2016 年 33 个欧洲国家 267 个右翼和左翼民粹主义政党的投票份额数据以及来自 KOF 研究所的全球化数据，我们没有发现经济全球化与民粹主义之间存在正相关的证据。在许多情况下，偏相关显着为负。在随机和固定效应模型中，欧盟成员资格与右翼民粹主义的投票份额增加 5 到 10 个百分点相关。