Although it seems obvious that tourism flows would be adversely affected by terrorism, crime and corruption, not all the empirical evidence supports this view. This article investigates the extent to which insecurity hurts tourism in Africa. We use a new data set consisting of 187 countries, 38 of which are in Africa, for the period 1995–2017. It combines information on the number of tourist arrivals in African countries with information on three types of security risk – terrorism, crime and corruption. While we find no statistically significant evidence that connects terrorism to tourism globally, we do find an effect for tourists travelling to Africa. Crime, too, hurts tourism, but we find no robust relationship between corruption and tourism. Our results emphasize the importance of government expenditure on safety and security to protect this labour-intensive and pro-poor sector.

尽管显然旅游业的发展将受到恐怖主义，犯罪和腐败的不利影响，但并非所有的经验证据都支持这种观点。本文调查了不安全因素在多大程度上损害了非洲的旅游业。我们使用1995-2017年期间由187个国家（其中38个在非洲）组成的新数据集。它将有关非洲国家游客人数的信息与有关三种安全风险的信息（恐怖主义，犯罪和腐败）结合在一起。尽管我们没有发现将恐怖主义与全球旅游业联系起来的具有统计意义的重要证据，但我们确实发现了前往非洲的游客的影响。犯罪也损害了旅游业，但我们发现腐败与旅游业之间没有牢固的关系。