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Estimating induced effects in IO impact analysis: variation in the methods for calculating the Type II Leontief multipliers
Economic Systems Research ( IF 2.081 ) Pub Date : 2020-10-29 , DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2020.1837741
Tobias Emonts-Holley 1 , Andrew Ross 2 , Kim Swales 1
Affiliation  

Type II input–output (IO) multipliers are frequently used for impact analysis. Unfortunately, there is no standard way to calculate these. The fundamental issue is that these multiplier methods endogenise household consumption but all have drawbacks because the IO accounts are missing key information required to consistently link household income and consumption to domestic economic activity. Using compatible regional and national data sets, we evaluate the values for various IO Type II multipliers to a benchmark value calculated with the aid of social accounting matrix data. The results suggest that the variation in Type II IO multiplier values generated by these alternative methods is an empirically non-trivial issue.



中文翻译:

估计 IO 影响分析中的诱导效应:计算类型 II Leontief 乘数的方法的变化

II 型输入输出 (IO) 乘数经常用于影响分析。不幸的是,没有标准的方法来计算这些。根本问题是,这些乘数方法使家庭消费内生化,但都有缺点,因为 IO 账户缺少将家庭收入和消费与国内经济活动始终联系起来所需的关键信息。使用兼容的区域和国家数据集,我们将各种 IO 类型 II 乘数的值评估为借助社会核算矩阵数据计算的基准值。结果表明,由这些替代方法产生的 II 类 IO 乘数值的变化是一个经验上非平凡的问题。

更新日期:2020-10-29
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