Managing safety has become increasingly important in global operations. Surprisingly, the literature provides limited clues on what influences future accident hazards after the happening of a recent minor operational incident (MOI) in an organization. We examine the impacts of internal context (direct MOI experience) and external context (indirect MOI experience) on a focal organization's future serious accident hazard. Using an archival incident dataset from the liner shipping industry and drawing upon normalized deviation and social contagion theory, we find that after a recent MOI in a focal organization, the direct (internal context) and indirect (contagion source) MOI experience “increase” the likelihood of accident hazard. Furthermore, within the indirect MOI experience, there is “no” differential impact between related (same type and same region) and unrelated experience, whereas within related experience, spatial (region) and social (type) proximity do not differ in influencing the chance of future serious accident hazard happening. Our findings provide important implications for theory, practice, and policy-making in safety management.

中文翻译：

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安全风险的反学习行为：内部环境和社会传染的作用

管理安全在全球运营中变得越来越重要。令人惊讶的是，文献提供了有限的线索，说明在组织中发生最近的轻微操作事故 (MOI) 后，影响未来事故危害的因素。我们研究了内部环境（直接 MOI 经验）和外部环境（间接 MOI 经验）对焦点组织未来严重事故危害的影响。使用班轮航运业的档案事件数据集并利用归一化偏差和社会传染理论，我们发现在焦点组织最近的 MOI 之后，直接（内部背景）和间接（传染源）MOI 经历“增加”发生事故危险的可能性。此外，在间接 MOI 经验中，相关（相同类型和相同区域）和不相关经验之间没有“没有”差异影响，而在相关经验中，空间（区域）和社会（类型）接近在影响未来严重事故危害发生的机会方面没有差异。我们的研究结果为安全管理的理论、实践和政策制定提供了重要的启示。