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Do unhappy citizens vote for populism?
European Journal of Political Economy ( IF 2.343 ) Pub Date : 2020-12-02 , DOI: 10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2020.101985
Adam Nowakowski

This paper explores the dynamics behind the surge in populist voting across Europe. It employs individual-level cross-sectional data from 8 waves of the European Social Survey (2002–2016). I attempt to shed light on one particular perspective of viewing populist voting – the role of psychological discontent. I examine robustness to (i) different ways of defining populism, (ii) a selection of alternative specifications and (iii) estimation methods. The results suggest that generalized unhappiness with one's personal well-being – and not merely dissatisfaction with governments – could play a significant role in the rise of European populism. As such, low levels of subjective well-being are proposed as a valid predictor of shifts towards extreme movements.



中文翻译:

不快乐的公民会投票支持民粹主义吗?

本文探讨了欧洲民粹主义投票激增背后的动力。它采用了来自欧洲社会调查 (2002-2016) 的 8 次浪潮的个人层面横截面数据。我试图阐明看待民粹主义投票的一种特殊视角——心理不满的作用。我检查了对(i)定义民粹主义的不同方式,(ii)选择替代规范和(iii)估计方法的稳健性。结果表明,对个人幸福的普遍不满——而不仅仅是对政府的不满——可能在欧洲民粹主义的兴起中发挥重要作用。因此,低水平的主观幸福感被提议作为向极端运动转变的有效预测指标。

更新日期:2020-12-02
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