Romola Davenport's recent article is presented as a significant revision of the interpretation of the reasons for rising and then falling urban mortality in Britain in the nineteenth century put forward by Szreter and Mooney, which emphasized the importance of the politics of public health. Davenport's claims that mortality patterns c. 1830–70 were driven by a synchronized rise and fall of scarlet fever across Europe and North America, as well as in rural locations in Britain, are based on frail and inconclusive forms of evidence. The epidemiological evidence presented by Davenport in fact indicates a chronologically lagging—not leading—role for scarlet fever in contributing to the rise in urban death rates before 1850 and the subsequent fall in urban mortality after c. 1870 in Britain.

中文翻译：

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猩红热和 19 世纪死亡率趋势：对 Romola Davenport 的回复

Romola Davenport 最近的文章是对 Szreter 和 Mooney 提出的对 19 世纪英国城市死亡率上升然后下降原因的解释的重大修订，该文章强调了公共卫生政治的重要性。达文波特声称死亡率模式c。1830 至 70 年间，猩红热在欧洲和北美以及英国的农村地区同步上升和下降，这是基于脆弱和不确定的证据形式。事实上，达文波特提供的流行病学证据表明，猩红热在导致 1850 年之前城市死亡率上升以及随后的C. 1870 年在英国。