Most criminal convictions are a result of guilty pleas. Concerns have been raised that large differentials between plea and potential trial sentences can be coercive to some defendants, especially when the threat of potential trial sentence is very large. The limited research, to date, suggests that the likelihood of pleading guilty goes up with increasing size of potential trial sentence. However, existing studies have failed to separate the effects of trial sentence and plea discount; as a result, in almost all studies, large potential trial sentences are paired with large discounts and small trial sentences with small discounts, making it difficult to know how the threat of trial sentence actually affects defendant decisions.

中文翻译：

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区分认罪折扣和潜在的审判判决对认罪决定的影响

大多数刑事定罪是认罪的结果。有人担心，认罪与可能的审判判决之间的巨大差异可能会迫使某些被告胁迫，特别是当潜在的审判判决的威胁非常大时。迄今为止，有限的研究表明，认罪的可能性随着潜在的审判量的增加而增加。然而，现有的研究未能将审判判决和辩诉折扣的效果区分开。结果，在几乎所有研究中，潜在的大审判判决与大折扣打折，小审判判决与小折扣打折扣，这使得人们很难知道审判威胁会如何影响被告的决定。