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The effects of traditional cigarette and e-cigarette tax rates on adult tobacco product use
Journal of Risk and Uncertainty ( IF 3.977 ) Pub Date : 2020-07-24 , DOI: 10.1007/s11166-020-09330-9
Michael F. Pesko , Charles J. Courtemanche , Johanna Catherine Maclean

We study the effects of traditional cigarette and e-cigarette taxes on use of these products among adults in the United States. Data are drawn from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System and National Health Interview Survey over the period 2011 to 2018. Using two-way fixed effects models, we find evidence that higher traditional cigarette tax rates reduce adult traditional cigarette use and increase adult e-cigarette use. Similarly, we find that higher e-cigarette tax rates increase traditional cigarette use and reduce e-cigarette use. Cross-tax effects imply that the products are economic substitutes. Our results suggest that a proposed national e-cigarette tax of $1.65 per milliliter of vaping liquid would raise the proportion of adults who smoke cigarettes daily by approximately 1 percentage point, translating to 2.5 million extra adult daily smokers compared to the counterfactual of not having the tax.

中文翻译:

传统卷烟和电子烟税率对成人烟草制品使用的影响

我们研究了传统香烟和电子烟税对美国成年人使用这些产品的影响。数据来自2011年至2018年期间的行为危险因素监视系统和国家健康访问调查。使用双向固定效应模型,我们发现有证据表明,较高的传统卷烟税率减少了成人传统卷烟的使用并增加了成人电子烟的使用采用。同样,我们发现较高的电子烟税率会增加传统香烟的使用量,并减少电子烟的使用量。交叉税收效应意味着产品是经济替代品。我们的结果表明,提议对每毫升雾化液征收1.65美元的国家电子烟税,将使每天吸烟的成年人比例提高大约1个百分点,相当于2。
更新日期:2020-07-24
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