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Do elites matter in Russian foreign policy? The gap between self-perception and influence
Post-Soviet Affairs ( IF 1.828 ) Pub Date : 2019-09-06 , DOI: 10.1080/1060586x.2019.1662185
Kirill Petrov 1, 2 , Vladimir Gel’man 3, 4
Affiliation  

ABSTRACT

This article analyzes the findings of the Survey of Russian Elites from the perspective of Russian elites’ perceptions of their individual and group influence on Russian foreign policy. In the current Russian elite structure, state enterprise managers, executive branch officials, and military/security officers are far more influential than members of other sub-groups when it comes to foreign policy. However, the survey results show that despite being members of the elite, respondents in all sub-groups generally found their ability to influence foreign policy decisions to be quite limited. That being said, the data show that representatives of less influential elite sub-groups are more confident about their impact on the decision-making process than representatives of more influential elite sub-groups. As such, there is a gap between elite sub-groups’ perception of their influence and their actual level of individual and group influence on Russian foreign policy. The article discusses various manifestations of this gap, as well as possible causes and implications.



中文翻译:

精英对俄罗斯外交政策有影响吗?自我感知与影响力之间的差距

摘要

本文从俄罗斯精英对其俄罗斯外交政策的个人和群体影响的观点出发,分析了《俄罗斯精英调查》的调查结果。在当前的俄罗斯精英结构中,在外交政策方面,国有企业经理,行政部门官员和军事/安全官员的影响力远超过其他小组的成员。但是,调查结果表明,尽管是精英阶层的成员,但所有子类别的受访者通常发现他们影响外交政策决定的能力非常有限。话虽如此,数据显示,与影响力较小的精英群体的代表相比,影响力较小的精英群体的代表对其决策过程的影响更有信心。因此,精英集团对俄罗斯影响的理解与个人和集团对俄罗斯外交政策的实际影响水平之间存在差距。本文讨论了这种差距的各种表现形式,以及可能的原因和含义。

更新日期:2019-09-06
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