Purpose: We used gatekeeping theory to frame our examination of whether and when educators with superintendent certification become superintendents, and how their likelihood of making that transition is influenced by race, sex, and other characteristics. Furthermore, we sought to identify variation in career pathways to the superintendency. Data and Method: We analyzed 26,071 observations of 4,813 unique individuals, representing the entire population of Texas public school educators who obtained their first superintendent certificate between the 2000-2001 and 2014-2015 school years. We constructed alluvial diagrams to visualize these educators’ career pathways. In addition to compiling a life table and visual displays of hazard, we used a discrete-time hazard model to control for individual and contextual characteristics associated with transitions into the superintendency. Findings: Educators are most likely to enter the superintendency in the academic year immediately following that in which they obtained the requisite certification. Furthermore, pathways to the superintendency differ greatly based on educator sex and race, as well as the level and locale employment setting. Finally, we determined that age, experience, education, level of employment, and sex all have statistically significant impacts on the likelihood of becoming a superintendent. Implications for Research and Practice: We discuss the role that researchers must play in coordinating with practitioners to ensure more equitable opportunity for aspiring superintendents. We also emphasize the important role that preparation programs play in preparing candidates for the job market. Finally, we ponder further expansions of similar presuperintendency research, as well as more robust applications of alluvial diagrams.

中文翻译：

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检查具有主管认证的教育工作者的职业道路

目的：我们使用守门理论来构建我们的研究框架，以检查具有学监认证的教育工作者是否以及何时成为学监，以及他们进行这种转变的可能性如何受到种族、性别和其他特征的影响。此外，我们试图确定通往主管的职业道路的变化。数据和方法：我们分析了 4,813 名独特个体的 26,071 次观察结果，这些个体代表了在 2000-2001 和 2014-2015 学年期间获得第一份学监证书的德克萨斯公立学校教育工作者的全部人口。我们构建了冲积图来形象化这些教育工作者的职业道路。除了编制生命表和危险的视觉显示外，我们使用离散时间风险模型来控制与过渡到监管相关的个人和上下文特征。结果：教育工作者最有可能在获得必要认证后的下一学年进入监管部门。此外，根据教育工作者的性别和种族，以及就业水平和地点的不同，通往学监的途径也大不相同。最后，我们确定年龄、经验、教育、就业水平和性别都对成为主管的可能性具有统计学意义的影响。对研究和实践的影响：我们讨论了研究人员在与从业者协调以确保为有抱负的管理者提供更公平机会方面必须发挥的作用。我们还强调准备计划在为就业市场准备候选人方面发挥的重要作用。最后，我们考虑进一步扩展类似的前监管研究，以及冲积图更强大的应用。