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Increasing the ambition of the EU Nationally Determined Contribution: lessons from a survey of experts and students
Economia Politica ( IF 1.143 ) Pub Date : 2020-08-08 , DOI: 10.1007/s40888-020-00193-6
Isabella Alloisio , Simone Borghesi , Francesco Nicolli

The Paris Agreement targets and an increasingly large public opinion movement world-wide require to progressively raise the ambition of the Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC). The European Union (EU) could play a crucial role in this process being one of the first Parties to submit its NDC and to call for the integration of the ratchet-up mechanism for ambition in the Paris Agreement. An enhanced EU NDC, therefore, would convey a powerful signal to the other UNFCCC Parties, reinforce the credibility of EU climate policy, and confirm the EU as a global “climate leader”. This paper examines whether and how the EU could enhance its NDC. For this purpose, it proposes some of the most likely and accredited options that could be pursued to achieve this goal. To dig deeper into this issue, the paper presents the results of a survey conducted among experts (scholars, practitioners, negotiators) and non-experts (students), using a mixed methods research design that combines qualitative and quantitative analyses to provide an ex-ante assessment of the selected policy options. The survey’s results show that increasing the EU NDC ambition is perceived as hard but feasible by both groups of interviewees. However, the non-experts’ group considers more options to be feasible showing in general a more optimistic attitude towards enhancing the EU NDC.



中文翻译:

提高欧盟国家自主贡献的雄心:专家和学生调查的经验教训

《巴黎协定》的目标和世界范围内日益扩大的舆论运动要求逐步提高国家自主贡献(NDC)的雄心。欧盟(EU)可以在这一进程中发挥关键作用,成为首批提交 NDC 并呼吁将雄心提升机制纳入《巴黎协定》的缔约方之一。因此,增强的欧盟 NDC 将向其他 UNFCCC 缔约方传递强有力的信号,增强欧盟气候政策的可信度,并确认欧盟作为全球“气候领导者”。本文探讨了欧盟是否以及如何加强其 NDC。为此,它提出了一些最有可能和认可的选项,可以用来实现这一目标。为了更深入地研究这个问题,本文介绍了在专家(学者、从业者、谈判者)和非专家(学生)中进行的一项调查的结果,采用混合方法研究设计,结合定性和定量分析,对选定的政策选项进行事前评估. 调查结果表明,两组受访者都认为提高欧盟 NDC 的雄心是困难的,但也是可行的。然而,非专家组认为更多的选择是可行的,总体上对加强欧盟国家自主贡献表现出更乐观的态度。调查结果表明,两组受访者都认为提高欧盟 NDC 的雄心是困难的,但也是可行的。然而,非专家组认为更多的选择是可行的,总体上对加强欧盟国家自主贡献表现出更乐观的态度。调查结果表明,两组受访者都认为提高欧盟 NDC 的雄心是困难的,但也是可行的。然而,非专家组认为更多的选择是可行的,总体上对加强欧盟国家自主贡献表现出更乐观的态度。

更新日期:2020-08-08
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