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From statistics to trust: Psychology in transition
New Ideas in Psychology ( IF 2.927 ) Pub Date : 2021-04-01 , DOI: 10.1016/j.newideapsych.2020.100848
Jan Smedslund

Abstract Modern psychology has aimed at being a natural science. This has been difficult because psychological processes are influenced by indefinitely complex, irreversibly changing contexts. Attempting to circumvent these obstacles, one has resorted to a group level methodology yielding small statistical differences and correlations that fail to provide sufficient support for theoretical and practical advance. Turning from this “psycho-demography” to person-centered psychology involves a change from statistical analysis of group-averages to logical analyses of personal communications, and from studying causation (what leads to what?) to studying implication (what follows from what?) also called psycho-logic. Since communications depend on trust, this replaces statistics, both in research and practice. It is concluded that psychology can only be about the concrete, and that future advances may lie in developing psycho-logic in terms of semantic non-numerical computer algorithms.

中文翻译:

从统计到信任:转型中的心理学

摘要 现代心理学的目标是成为一门自然科学。这一直很困难,因为心理过程会受到无限复杂、不可逆转的环境变化的影响。试图绕过这些障碍,人们诉诸于产生小的统计差异和相关性的组级方法,无法为理论和实践的进步提供足够的支持。从这种“心理人口学”转向以人为中心的心理学涉及从群体平均值的统计分析到个人交流的逻辑分析,从研究因果关系(什么导致什么?)到研究含义(从什么得出什么? ) 也称为心理逻辑。由于通信依赖于信任,这在研究和实践中都取代了统计数据。
更新日期:2021-04-01
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