The Kashmir dispute between India and Pakistan remains at the core of one of the most intractable conflicts in modern history. This article provides a plausibility probe into the dynamics of this South Asian rivalry that is conceptually based on the dynamic understanding of “frozen conflicts” introduced in this special issue of Asia Europe Journal. We lay out the key features of the conflict vis-à-vis the redefined notion of frozen conflicts, situating the rivalry in the broader category of unresolved protracted conflicts with a looming threat of violence renewal. In turn, we examine the three transformational dynamics as they operate in this particular case: peaceful thawing, violent thawing, and conflict withering. We conclude that despite the ongoing developments within the conflict dynamics, the possibility of conflict transformation through any of the suggested pathways remains unlikely in the near future.

中文翻译：

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印度、巴基斯坦和克什米尔争端：解开南亚冻结冲突的动态

印度和巴基斯坦之间的克什米尔争端仍然是现代历史上最棘手的冲突之一的核心。这篇文章提供了对这种南亚竞争动态的合理性探讨，该动态基于对“亚洲欧洲杂志”特刊中介绍的“冻结冲突”的动态理解在概念上。我们相对于重新定义的冻结冲突概念列出了冲突的主要特征，将竞争置于未解决的旷日持久的冲突这一更广泛的类别中，并带有迫在眉睫的暴力更新威胁。反过来，我们研究了在这种特殊情况下运作的三种转型动力：和平解冻、暴力解冻和冲突消退。我们得出的结论是，尽管冲突动态不断发展，