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Frozen, stalled, stuck, or just muddling through: the post-Dayton frozen conflict in Bosnia and Herzegovina
Asia Europe Journal ( IF 1.689 ) Pub Date : 2018-08-23 , DOI: 10.1007/s10308-018-0525-6
Valery Perry

The war in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH) ended in 1995, yet the state remains crippled by inertia, escalating political infighting, and domestic and regional rhetoric that undermines efforts at community, social, and political reconciliation. The author argues that BiH can be categorized as a frozen conflict, as the core issues at the heart of the violent conflict of the 1990s have not been resolved. BiH is an interesting case study as the nature of today’s frozen conflict was to a large extent shaped by the very peace agreement that ended the war, which effectively ended the war yet failed to either address the drivers of conflict, or to establish political and structural mechanisms that would help to mediate and govern the country. Following brief historical background, Ludvik and Smetana’s offered subtypes are applied, with various scenarios proposed to illustrate key characteristics. The conclusion argues that no conflict transformation has occurred over the past 20+ years, and the structure of the conflict itself has begun to change over a generation of destructive stasis.

中文翻译:

冻结、停滞、卡住或只是混日子:波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那的后代顿冻结冲突

波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那(波黑)的战争于 1995 年结束,但该国仍然因惰性、不断升级的政治内讧以及破坏社区、社会和政治和解努力的国内和区域言论而瘫痪。作者认为波黑可以归类为冻结的冲突,因为 1990 年代暴力冲突的核心问题尚未解决。波黑是一个有趣的案例研究,因为今天冻结的冲突的性质在很大程度上是由结束战争的和平协议决定的,该协议有效地结束了战争,但既没有解决冲突的驱动因素,也没有建立政治和结构有助于调解和治理国家的机制。根据简要的历史背景,应用 Ludvik 和 Smetana 提供的子类型,提出了各种方案来说明关键特征。结论认为,过去 20 多年没有发生冲突转变,冲突本身的结构在一代破坏性的停滞中开始发生变化。
更新日期:2018-08-23
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