Abstract

The possibility of using the Marine Hindcast and Forecast System (MHFS) developed at Zubov State Oceanographic Institute for short-term forecasting of hydrometeorological and ice characteristics of the Caspian Sea is demonstrated. The presented implementation of the system is based on the regional nonhydrostatic atmospheric model WRF (Weather Research and Forecast Model) and model of marine circulation INMOM (Institute of Numerical Mathematics Ocean Model). The system performance is assessed for the period from January 1 to March 31, 2017 by comparing the forecasts of hydrometeorological characteristics with observational data from hydrometeorological stations. The quality of reproducing sea ice characteristics based on ESIMO objective data is also evaluated.

中文翻译：

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用于里海水文气象特征诊断和预报的海洋后备预报系统和基于实测的预报验证

摘要

证明了使用由祖波夫州海洋学研究所开发的海洋后预报和预报系统（MHFS）进行里海水文气象和冰特征的短期预报的可能性。所提出的系统实现基于区域非静水大气模型WRF（天气研究和预报模型）和海洋环流模型INMOM（数字数学海洋模型研究所）。通过将水文气象特征的预测与水文气象台站的观测数据进行比较，可以评估2017年1月1日至2017年3月31日期间的系统性能。还评估了基于ESIMO客观数据的复制海冰特征的质量。