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Present energy scenario and future energy mix of Bangladesh
Energy Strategy Reviews ( IF 8.2 ) Pub Date : 2020-11-26 , DOI: 10.1016/j.esr.2020.100576
N.K. Das , J. Chakrabartty , Mrinmoy Dey , A.K. Sen Gupta , M.A. Matin

Electric power consumption in KWh Per capita is a key factor in determining the progress of technological growth and the socio-economic development of any country. Bangladesh is a lower middle-income country, and its population density is around 1118 per square kilometer. The vision of the country is to become a high-income nation by the year 2041. Governed by this vision, the net electricity demand forecasted to 61 GW by 2041. The power generating sector of Bangladesh largely depends on natural gas since the reserve of natural gas is higher compared to all other fossil fuel-based energy resources. However, natural gas is predicted to deplete by the year 2028, which threatens the future energy security of Bangladesh. Therefore, Bangladesh needs immediate attention to the modification of its existing energy mix to meet future energy demands for sustainable economic growth. In this paper, we report a detailed overview of the present energy scenario by taking into account the numerous available energy resources and simultaneously proposed a best-suited energy solution for the sustainable development of Bangladesh. We have considered the economic value and the environmental value of the energy supply to estimate the prospective primary energy mix of Bangladesh for electricity generation. Our estimation suggests for the use of 25% Coal, 25% Natural Gas, and 35% Renewable Energies that ensure the best energy mix of Bangladesh. This study has critically examined the performance matrices of all the existing energy resources and such the outcome of this study may bring a long term sustainable energy solution in the energy market of Bangladesh.



中文翻译:

孟加拉国的当前能源情景和未来能源结构

人均千瓦时的电耗是决定任何国家技术增长和社会经济发展进程的关键因素。孟加拉国是中等收入国家,人口密度大约为每平方公里1118。该国的愿景是到2041年成为一个高收入国家。在这一愿景的支配下,到2041年的净电力需求预计将达到61吉瓦。孟加拉国的发电部门主要依靠天然气,因为自然资源的储备与所有其他基于化石燃料的能源相比,天然气要高。然而,预计到2028年天然气将耗尽,这威胁到孟加拉国未来的能源安全。因此,孟加拉国需要立即注意改变其现有能源结构,以满足未来对可持续经济增长的能源需求。在本文中,我们考虑到众多可用能源,报告了当前能源情景的详细概述,同时为孟加拉国的可持续发展提出了最适合的能源解决方案。我们已经考虑了能源供应的经济价值和环境价值,以估计孟加拉国用于发电的潜在一次能源组合。我们的估算建议使用25%的煤炭,25%的天然气和35%的可再生能源,以确保孟加拉国实现最佳能源组合。

更新日期:2020-11-27
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