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Heat Waves: A New Danger for the Russian Power System
Doklady Physics ( IF 0.8 ) Pub Date : 2020-11-16 , DOI: 10.1134/s1028335820090050
V. V. Klimenko , A. S. Ginzburg , E. V. Fedotova , A. G. Tereshin

Abstract

In this study, changes in temperature extremes in Russia are considered and the impact of these changes on the balance sheets of Russian power systems is analyzed. On the basis of the current meteorological observations and energy statistics, the change observed in extreme climatic characteristics over the past seventy years is calculated and its impact on power-grid regimes is estimated. It is established that the climate changes in Russia manifesting themselves in increasing air temperature in all regions and all seasons lead to a slowdown in the growth of winter and an increase in the growth of summer peak loads in almost all power grids, thereby contributing to an increase in the reliability of the energy supply. At the same time, disruptions of the electricity supply may arise in the southern energy-deficient regions in the summer as a result of violating the intersystem links and operation modes of generating facilities due to weather and climatic factors.



中文翻译:

热浪:俄罗斯电力系统的新危险

摘要

在这项研究中,考虑了俄罗斯极端温度的变化,并分析了这些变化对俄罗斯电力系统资产负债表的影响。根据当前的气象观测和能源统计数据,可以计算出过去七十年来观测到的极端气候特征的变化,并估算了其对电网的影响。可以确定的是,俄罗斯的气候变化在所有地区和所有季节都表现为气温升高,从而导致几乎所有电网的冬季增长减缓和夏季高峰负荷​​的增长,从而促成提高能源供应的可靠性。同时,

更新日期:2020-11-16
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