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Tactics, Objectives, and Choices: Building a Fire Risk Index
Fire Safety Journal ( IF 3.1 ) Pub Date : 2021-01-01 , DOI: 10.1016/j.firesaf.2020.103241
Vasileios Koutsomarkos , David Rush , Grunde Jomaas , Angus Law

Abstract This work summarises the key points that can be drawn from the extensive body of literature associated with fire risk indexing methods. A comprehensive definition of fire risk indexing is provided and the sometimes opaque mechanics of indexing are described in detail. Issues arising from fire risk indexing methods are explored, and the variety of terminology associated with this method is clarified. It is also explored how the development and operation of indexing methods are entangled with issues of reliable expert elicitation and professional competence of the end user. It emerges that the greater the complexity of a method, the more the workings of the method become obfuscated. This creates an inherent tension between the simplicity of the method and its transparency to the users – an issue the developers of fire risk indices ought to address from an early point.

中文翻译:

策略、目标和选择:建立火灾风险指数

摘要 这项工作总结了可以从与火灾风险索引方法相关的大量文献中得出的关键点。提供了火灾风险索引的全面定义,并详细描述了有时不透明的索引机制。探讨了火灾风险索引方法引起的问题,并澄清了与此方法相关的各种术语。还探讨了索引方法的开发和操作如何与可靠的专家引出和最终用户的专业能力问题纠缠在一起。结果表明,方法的复杂性越大,方法的工作就越模糊。
更新日期:2021-01-01
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