How does the spatial context shape early innovation trajectories and how will this influence the directionality of transitions? We elaborate these questions for the case of transitions in personal mobility, focusing on emerging trajectories of electric vehicles and autonomous driving. We analyze how the dynamics depend on whether innovation and transition strategies are primarily geared towards urban or rural contexts. In order to identify potentially diverging trajectories, we specify socio-technical regime structures at two levels: the level of service regimes (i.e. rules that relate to specific means of transport, like the car) and the level of the sectoral regime (i.e. rules that regulate the interplay between the different service regimes). We will show that depending on whether the early innovation strategies are oriented at rural or urban contexts, quite different directionalities can result both regarding the technological trajectory of the new service option, but also regarding the overall sector configuration.

空间环境如何塑造早期创新的轨迹，这将如何影响转型的方向性？我们针对个人机动性过渡的情况阐述了这些问题，重点是电动汽车和自动驾驶的新兴轨迹。我们分析了动态因素如何取决于创新和过渡策略是否主要针对城市或农村环境。为了确定潜在的变化轨迹，我们在两个级别上指定了社会技术体制结构：服务体制的级别（即与特定运输工具（例如汽车）相关的规则）和部门体制的级别（即调节不同服务体制之间的相互作用）。