In an era where farmers face considerable levels of intertwined risks and uncertainties, farm resilience is developing into a focal point for agricultural policies. Using survey data from 916 Dutch farmers, we explore how risk behavior relates to perceived resilience. We capture the dynamics of resilience thinking by investigating past risk-management portfolios, current risk preferences, future risk perceptions, and perceived resilience. Partial least squares structural equation models (PLS-SEM) indicate that higher perceived robustness, adaptability, and transformability relate to these farmers with a more resilient future. Additionally, results show the importance of risk management in assessing perceived resilience. More specifically, we find that more diverse risk-management portfolios are associated with (i) higher perceived adaptability and (ii) in specific cases, higher perceived transformability.

中文翻译：

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从风险行为到感知的农场复原力：荷兰案例研究

在农民面临相当多相互交织的风险和不确定性的时代，农业恢复力正在发展成为农业政策的焦点。使用来自 916 名荷兰农民的调查数据，我们探讨了风险行为与感知弹性的关系。我们通过调查过去的风险管理组合、当前的风险偏好、未来的风险认知和感知的弹性来捕捉弹性思维的动态。偏最小二乘结构方程模型 (PLS-SEM) 表明，更高的感知稳健性、适应性和可转化性与这些农民的未来更有弹性有关。此外，结果表明风险管理在评估感知弹性方面的重要性。进一步来说，