This paper examines the relationship between local elections and wildfire. Using data of wildfires in Greek municipalities between 2000 and 2010, I estimate models comparing wildfire outcomes in local election years against non-election years. I find that wildfire occurrence and burned area are systematically lower in the years around local elections. In municipalities where incumbents run for re-election, the decrease in wildfire occurrence is smaller in the years leading to elections, and larger in the years following local elections. There is some limited evidence that the likelihood of re-election influences wildfire outcomes around the time of local elections. The results suggest a relationship can exist between politics at the local level, wildfire occurrence and burned area. As political and economic considerations can be important in driving wildfire outcomes, assessing wildfire risk cannot take place separately from the prevailing political, economic and institutional environment.

中文翻译：

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检查选举与野火之间的关系

本文考察了地方选举与野火之间的关系。使用 2000 年至 2010 年希腊城市野火的数据，我估计了比较地方选举年与非选举年野火结果的模型。我发现在地方选举前后的几年里，野火发生率和烧毁面积有系统地降低。在现任者竞选连任的城市中，野火发生的减少在选举前的年份较小，在地方选举后的年份中减少。有一些有限的证据表明，连任的可能性会影响地方选举前后的野火结果。结果表明，地方层面的政治、野火发生和被烧毁地区之间可能存在关系。