With the rise of smart cities, a number of new mobility services have emerged to drive changes in built environment policies. Up-to-date demand models are needed to capture the impact of these policies on emerging mobility-enabled travel patterns. The study explores modeling requirements to assess the impact of such built environment policies. A synthetic population of New York City with a tour-based nested logit mode choice model was developed with accessibility to bikesharing and ride hail services via smartphone ownership. The model results suggest Manhattanites have a value of time of $29/h, consistent with the literature. Smartphone ownership is positively influenced by income and negatively influenced by age, and in turn negatively impacts Citi Bike ridership relative to other modes available. The synthetic population is also applied to analyze two city-scale built environment scenarios: a hypothetical Amazon headquarter deployment and a Citi Bike service expansion. If Amazon succeeded in Long Island City, it would have increased the number of trips to/from that neighborhood by 239%, of which FHVs would grow by over 441% and transit by 294%. It would have led to an increase of peak morning trips from 5000 up to at least 8000. Citi Bike’s expansion plan would grow ridership by 92%, and if they were able to expand efficiently throughout NYC this would grow further to 210% over the baseline.

随着智慧城市的兴起，涌现了许多新的出行服务，以推动建筑环境政策的变化。需要最新的需求模型来捕获这些政策对新兴的出行支持的出行方式的影响。该研究探索了建模需求，以评估此类建筑环境政策的影响。开发了纽约市的合成人群，具有基于游览的嵌套logit模式选择模型，可以通过智能手机拥有权访问共享单车和骑冰雹服务。模型结果表明，曼哈顿人的时间价值为$ 29 / h，与文献一致。智能手机的拥有量受到收入的积极影响，而受年龄的负面影响，相对于其他可用模式，反过来又对花旗自行车出行产生负面影响。综合人口还用于分析两个城市规模的建筑环境方案：假设的亚马逊总部部署和Citi Bike服务扩展。如果亚马逊在长岛市（Long Island City）成功，它将使往返该社区的旅行次数增加239％，其中FHV将增长441％以上，过境量将增长294％。这将导致早上的高峰旅行次数从5000增加到至少8000。Citi Bike的扩展计划将使乘车人数增长92％，并且如果他们能够在整个纽约市有效扩展，那么其飞行速度将比基准水平进一步增长到210％ 。其中FHV将增长441％以上，过境量将增长294％。这将导致早上的高峰旅行次数从5000增加到至少8000。Citi Bike的扩展计划将使乘车游览率提高92％，如果他们能够在整个纽约市有效地扩展，那么这个数字会比基准水平进一步增长到210％ 。其中FHV将增长441％以上，过境量将增长294％。这将导致早上的高峰旅行次数从5000增加到至少8000。Citi Bike的扩展计划将使乘车人数增长92％，并且如果他们能够在整个纽约市有效扩展，那么其飞行速度将比基准水平进一步增长到210％ 。