There is a growing understanding that energy strategies must not only consider least-cost energy supply options, but also consider various side effects and different perspectives, such as security, customer empowerment, and the impacts on research and innovation systems. However, a framework is needed to prepare and develop a particular country’s energy strategy. This article aims to assess the combined effects of energy sector development on research and innovation by considering a novel approach that integrates different methods in its assessment. The article’s methodological approach is based on the Delphi Technique, expert evaluations and quantitative description of chosen impact factors. The Delphi Technique is used to form a set of impact factors – such as whether smart specialisation exists relative to a particular technology, the number of patents or the amount of funding – and define important stages in the technology life cycle. Expert evaluations are then used to determine the significance of various factors and integrate multidimensional impacts. The developed novel approach allows for an assessment of the combined effects of the Lithuanian energy sector’s development on research and innovation. This assessment reveals that the green scenario of the Lithuanian energy sector’s development contributes the most to increasing research and innovation. The developed approach can be applied in both technology screening and analyses of comprehensive energy-development scenarios prepared with energy system models. Further, these findings extend the understanding of important links between energy sector’s development and research and innovation while observing the problem from different perspectives.

人们日益认识到，能源战略不仅必须考虑成本最低的能源供应方案，而且还必须考虑各种副作用和不同的观点，例如安全性，增强客户能力以及对研究和创新系统的影响。但是，需要一个框架来准备和制定特定国家的能源战略。本文旨在通过考虑一种在评估中整合了不同方法的新颖方法，来评估能源部门发展对研究与创新的综合影响。本文的方法论方法基于Delphi技术，专家评估和所选影响因素的定量描述。德尔菲技术用于形成一系列影响因素-例如相对于特定技术是否存在智能专业化，专利数量或资金数量-并定义技术生命周期中的重要阶段。然后使用专家评估来确定各种因素的重要性并整合多维影响。开发出的新颖方法可以评估立陶宛能源部门的发展对研究和创新的综合影响。该评估表明，立陶宛能源部门发展的绿色情景对增加研究和创新贡献最大。所开发的方法既可以应用于技术筛选，也可以应用于利用能源系统模型准备的综合能源开发方案的分析。进一步，