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Numerical modelling-based sensitivity analysis of fluvial morphodynamics
Environmental Modelling & Software ( IF 4.9 ) Pub Date : 2020-10-12 , DOI: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2020.104903
Bruno Oliveira , Francesco Ballio , Rodrigo Maia

This study's objective is to assess the sensitivity analysis' potential for application in the context of the stochastic-input based modelling of fluvial morphodynamics. The corresponding work involved (1) an analysis of the work available in the literature and (2) an independent application of sensitivity analysis for comparison. The application of sensitivity analysis was accomplished by using a numerical hydro-morphodynamic model to represent the natural morphodynamical processes' response to the uncertainty in a selected set of variables. The resulting morphodynamical sensitivities were quantified and a characterization of the relationship between the variables' effects and morphodynamics was produced. The potential generalization of the results of sensitivity analysis for the purposes of validating stochastic modelling across different case studies was assessed. Resulting sensitivities were found to be strongly case-specific with little generalization potential, indicating that sensitivity analysis in the context of fluvial morphodynamics is likely of little scientific interest.



中文翻译:

基于数值建模的河流形态动力学敏感性分析

这项研究的目的是评估灵敏度分析在基于随机输入的河流形态动力学建模中的应用潜力。相应的工作包括(1)对文献中可用工作的分析,以及(2)敏感性分析的独立应用以进行比较。灵敏度分析的应用是通过使用数值水动力模型来表示自然动力过程对选定变量集中不确定性的响应。量化所得的形态动力学敏感性,并表征变量的作用与形态动力学之间的关系。为了验证跨不同案例研究的随机建模,评估了敏感性分析结果的潜在概括性。发现结果敏感性非常强地针对具体情况,几乎没有泛化潜力,这表明在河流形态动力学背景下的敏感性分析可能缺乏科学意义。

更新日期:2020-10-15
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