Electricity substitution refers to replacing fossil fuels by electricity in the consumption side. To figure out the actual ways of energy usage, we conduct field survey to obtain energy consumption data in Fujian, as well as potentials for electricity substitution. Based on these data, this paper provides a theoretical analysis for electricity substitution policy. We use the input–output model to estimate the effects of electricity substitution in Fujian during the period of 2016–2020. The results show electricity substitution can significantly increase total output of the power sector and reduce oil demand. Moreover, the electricity substitution policy can also help to control greenhouse gases and pollutants effectively. Replacing fossil fuels with clean electricity will be conducive to sustainable economic development. These findings will shed some light on the future policy of electricity substitution and energy structure change.

中文翻译：

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福建电力替代效应：基于微观数据调查

电力替代是指在消费侧以电力替代化石燃料。为了弄清楚实际的能源使用方式，我们进行了实地调查，以获得福建的能源消耗数据，以及电力替代的潜力。基于这些数据，本文对电力替代政策进行了理论分析。我们使用投入产出模型来估计 2016-2020 年福建电力替代的影响。结果表明，电力替代可以显着增加电力部门的总产量并减少石油需求。此外，电力替代政策也有助于有效控制温室气体和污染物。以清洁电力替代化石燃料将有利于经济的可持续发展。