This article examines the impact of farmers’ perceptions of temperature change on implementing environmentally friendly agriculture practices on rubber plantations. Based on the data collected from 611 smallholder rubber farmers in Xishuangbanna Dai Autonomous Prefecture (XSBN) in the upper Mekong region, an endogenous switching probit model and an endogenous treatment effects model are applied to estimate the impacts of farmers’ perceptions of temperature change on implementing environmentally friendly rubber plantations (EFRP) proxied by the intercropping system. While the real annual average temperature in XSBN has been increasing, only 59% of respondents perceived an increasing trend, whereas over 38% perceived no change. Farmers’ perceptions of temperature change appear to hinge on their education and socioeconomic characteristics and the experience of shocks related to regional climate change. Improving farmers’ perceptions of increasing temperature can significantly foster their practice of EFRP. Hence, policies that promote awareness of regional climate change can effectively encourage the implementation of mitigation practices.

中文翻译：

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气候变化和农民的看法：对湄公河上游地区橡胶种植的影响

本文研究了农民对温度变化的看法对在橡胶种植园实施环保农业实践的影响。以湄公河上游地区西双版纳傣族自治州（XSBN）611个小农橡胶农为研究对象，应用内生转换概率模型和内生处理效应模型估计农户对温度变化感知的影响。间作系统代理的环保橡胶种植园 (EFRP)。虽然 XSBN 的实际年平均气温一直在上升，但只有 59% 的受访者认为有上升趋势，而超过 38% 的受访者认为没有变化。农民对温度变化的看法似乎取决于他们的教育和社会经济特征以及与区域气候变化相关的冲击经历。改善农民对温度升高的看法可以显着促进他们的 EFRP 实践。因此，促进区域气候变化意识的政策可以有效地鼓励实施减缓措施。