Abstract. In this special issue contribution, I provide a personal view on the role of bifurcation analysis of climate models in the development of a theory of climate system variability. The state of the art of the methodology is shortly outlined, and the main part of the paper deals with examples of what has been done and what has been learned. In addressing these issues, I will discuss the role of a hierarchy of climate models, concentrate on results for spatially extended (stochastic) models (having many degrees of freedom) and evaluate the importance of these results for a theory of climate system variability.

中文翻译：

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应用于气候模型的数值分岔方法：模拟之外的分析

摘要。在这篇特刊文章中，我就气候模型的分岔分析在发展气候系统变率理论中的作用提供了个人观点。简要概述了该方法的最新进展，本文的主要部分涉及已完成和已学习的示例。在解决这些问题时，我将讨论气候模型层次结构的作用，专注于空间扩展（随机）模型（具有许多自由度）的结果，并评估这些结果对于气候系统变率理论的重要性。